Elwis dienorastis

Tiesiai šviesiai. Tu - KLAUNAS. "Ar bus progų atsilošti?" Lošiama tam, kad laimėtume. Tai gal dar visus dienoraščius praskaitei ir ant visų statymų užmetei? :D

Tiesiai šviesiai, man tavo nuomonė neįdomi. Lošiame tam, kad laimėtume, bet jau savaitė kaip iš šito forumo picku pralošiu, nieko nekaltinu, pats imu pikus ir pats kaltas, bet noriu sužinoti ar bus dar statymu per kuriuos atsilošiu :)

Daugiau man nieko nerašyk nenorių veltis į gynčus. Ir teršti forumą, be reikalo.

Tiesiai šviesiai, man tavo nuomonė neįdomi. Lošiame tam, kad laimėtume, bet jau savaitė kaip iš šito forumo picku pralošiu, nieko nekaltinu, pats imu pikus ir pats kaltas, bet noriu sužinoti ar bus dar statymu per kuriuos atsilošiu :D

 

Daugiau man nieko nerašyk nenorių veltis į gynčus. Ir teršti forumą, be reikalo.

Ne turbūt progų nebus. Dės pickus tuos, kurie praloš :)

ok. Nedarom OT

pease :D

Bus dar tu picku... Siandien jau 2 yra, nuo vakar, tarp ju dar vienas strong play... Ko dar reikia? :)

Nelendu niekada i europos lygas, bet for fun uzmesiu uz sita:

-- Arena Football --

San Jose SaberCats -Chicago Rush

UNDER 103.0 / 6 units

Columbus Destroyers +6.0 / 3 units

Baltic Basket League

Kalev/Cramo

Zalgiris

2 (-11.5)

Man rodos cia 62-101 bus rezultatas, nors pinigu tai pagailejau sitam, nes kaip minejau nelendu i europa baveik niekada...

Vakar vienas ispudingesnis :D Niekada tiek nestatau, taciau vakar labai isitikines buvau situo :D

Cia dailiai uzkabinai, ~+900eur,sveikinu :D

bus siandien strong play koks? :D

bus siandien strong play koks? :D

parasyta:

San Jose SaberCats -Chicago Rush

UNDER 103.0 / 6 units

jo jau ir as pastebejau :D

O tas "storng play" - tai skaitosi toks jau labiau patikimas ? ar ne ?

kur tu radai under 103.0 ? nu gal jau siaip nukrito iki under 98.5 :

O tas "storng play" - tai skaitosi toks jau labiau patikimas ? ar ne ?

jeigu galima atsakysiu uz elwi.. elwio piku tiekejas dazniausiai duoda 3 unitus, cia 6 unitai - zmogus isitikines, kad praeis..

na o kaip bus, parodys varzybos :D

P.S. 98.5 under beliko...

niekad ir nebuvo under 103 bent jau kai tik parase bwine buvo under 97 bet vistiek paemiau ash

Jo line droped, neveltui pickas vakar duotas, kai dar buvo 103(tik nevisuose bendrovese ideda taip anksti) :D bet is esmes turetu ir 98 uztekti :)

 

Nelendu niekada i europos lygas, bet for fun uzmesiu uz sita:

 

Baltic Basket League

Kalev/Cramo

Zalgiris

2 (-11.5)

 

Man rodos cia 62-101 bus rezultatas, nors pinigu tai pagailejau sitam, nes kaip minejau nelendu i europa baveik niekada...

 

+64litai :D Pagailejau, bet nesigailiu :P

Jei turit laiko: jis raso

I'm going to be very busy this week and won't be able to visit much.

Got an email from a new client who's been winning with totals asking me how come I concentrate on totals so much to the exclusion of sides.

Well, over the years, I have won nice change on sides of all kinds. Again, I'm directly answering a question, so don't infer that it's "horn-tooting" time. But I did finish in first-place in NFL sides this year at The Sports Monitor (TSM). So it's not like I don't do and win at sides with some consistency.

But I personally like totals more than sides - especially an over-play that's already covered. Because I can mark that game as a winner and not be bothered with it anymore.

And I've expanded the scope of my MLB totals-model - which looks at some wacky things, but works - so that it produces more plays. With limited action, TSM had me at, I think, 70% & #1 in MLB totals in the regular-season.

Of course, all totals are also nice because of the limited juice you lay compared to, say, big-priced favorites in bases or on the ice.

Anyway, here's the answer I emailed back to my new client - it's from the hoop home-page intro I'll eventually have on that impossible-to-get-up site I'll have some day:

"Speaking of totals for a moment, let me tell you another truth I've learned doing this for a living: bookies don't like totals; or more accurately, bookies don't like the guys who bet lots of totals.(cia geras :D )

Why is that? Well, let's look at NBA-game lines, side & total, to better understand this. If you have the biggest mismatch in the entire

league, what will the line on that side be? If you hit -20, I'll be shocked. More like maybe -14, -15 points.

Now, let's assume there's a great earth-shattering upset in this game and the crap team actually wins straight-up - by say, 10 points. This is a genuine shocker, huh? Not only did the bum-team win but they covered by maybe 25 points.

And for most players (which is what serious gamblers are called - I’m not referring to the ball players), that game is a big deal and there will be a lot of discussion about that result.

But now, let's look at the total on that same game. Let's say the line on the total for that very same game was 190. And now let's say that the final score, with the dog winning, was 120-110.

Are most players shocked that the total went 40 whole points over the line? Not at all - virtually the entire discussion on sports talk radio shows or online forums will be that the lousy team beat the good team. You see what I mean?

Also, the range for totals-lines in the NBA can be from the mid-160s all the way into the 230's. A 70-point range can exist in NBA totals - but only, maximally, about a 20- point range for sides. All the more reason books hate totals.

For the sharp player who has a sound methodology for picking totals, they can invariably be beaten for a higher percentage than one can beat sides."

Hope this helps some to see why totals rule!

B A.

Nera siandien visai nieko, dar laukiu is zmogaus, bet is esmes turiu 2 pickus kuriu turbut geriau nedeti...

t.y 1.(wrong team favored) Washington - Boston 2 2.60

ir

Mavs +6.5 Bet tiesa sakant dar zvalgaus ir nezinau ar jie eis... Zinau, kad Mavs su Jazz lygiai eis, bet kaip daznai gale buna sugebes pralaimeti 7... Spastai? Jum spresti as dar laukiu. Neisivaizduoju i kuria puse cia line vaiksto...

Nu LINE tai nevaiksto:

EDIT:

Jazz kaip ikaltas, gal veliau pajudes, jei iki 7 pakils metu jei ne nemetu :D Del Bostono dar neaisku, ten isvis ------...

Nu lauksim tavo verdikto ;) O tai tavo pirktu picku sia savaite visai nebus ar tik parase kad busy bus, bet vistiek pickai bus?

Nu lauksim tavo verdikto ;) O tai tavo pirktu picku sia savaite visai nebus ar tik parase kad busy bus, bet vistiek pickai bus?

Pickai visada bus jei pirksiu visada, o malonumas labai brangus, pradzioj galvojau, (ir parasyta buvo taip) kad menesiui uz 500litu, bet paskui pasirode, kad savaitei... Tai ziuresim kaip bus, siandien apskirtai pickai tik 2. Abu ideti, ir pasilieku prie savo:

Washington

Boston

2

2.60

1unit.

Utah Jazz

Dallas Mavericks

NBA

2 (+6.5)

1unit.

Sekmes, labanakt.

-- Arena Football --

 

San Jose SaberCats -Chicago Rush

UNDER 103.0 / 6 units

si karta strong play suslubavo

San Jose SaberCats -Chicago Rush 47-70 ;)

 

-- Arena Football --

 

San Jose SaberCats -Chicago Rush

UNDER 103.0 / 6 units

 

Columbus Destroyers +6.0 / 3 units

 

 

 

 

Washington

Boston

2

2.60

1unit.

 

Utah Jazz

Dallas Mavericks

NBA

2 (+6.5)

1unit.

 

 

Strong nepraejo, bet ne katastrofa ;)

siandien bus ?

Minnesota Timberwolves

Charlotte Bobcats

NBA

over 199.5 points

2units

Atlanta Hawks

Golden State Warriors

NBA

over 220.5 points

2units

Nera siandien profesionaliu picku, savo du atrinkau juodu darbu, tikiuosi neprasausiu.

Sekmes

Labos

Minnesota Timberwolves

Charlotte Bobcats

NBA

over 199.5 points

2units

 

Atlanta Hawks

Golden State Warriors

NBA

over 220.5 points

2units

Apie Minnesota truksta zodziu kiek tritaskiu pramete per paskutines 2min ... 8? ;)

No plays tonight. Dar nesusitvarkiau iki galo su pinigais :D

paskutiniai pickai, kas dar nores pm, labai didele nasta kainos...

Is esmes nieko rimta nera siandien tik 1 :D

Cavs.+3.5 1unit nba

L.Beach St./Cal.P.Slo Un.126.5 2units ncaa

Ph.Flyers/TB Lightening Un.6 2units nhl

soft strong

PACERS vs SPURS UNDER 197.5 4units nba

Sekmes labos.

Gaila tas soft strong neparejo.. Gerai, kad meciau nedidele suma, bet vakar intike ziauri diena 6/0 ;((

 

Is esmes nieko rimta nera siandien tik 1 :D

 

Cavs.+3.5 1unit nba

 

L.Beach St./Cal.P.Slo Un.126.5 2units ncaa

 

Ph.Flyers/TB Lightening Un.6 2units nhl

 

soft strong

PACERS vs SPURS UNDER 197.5 4units nba

 

Sekmes labos.

Aisku apmaudu... Bet tik vienas ir buvo normalus.. Dar spesim :D