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  1. Larry Ness' 25* AFC Game of the Year (Five in a row?)

    My 25* AFC Game of the Year is on the Bal Ravens at 1:00 ET. Both the Broncos and Ravens are coming off a bye but there is little argument that this game is of much greater importance to the Ravens. The Broncos are 6-0 and three games up in the AFC West over the Chargers while the 3-3 Ravens find themselves 1 1/2 games behind both the 5-2 Bengals and Steelers in the AFC Central. A loss here for Baltimore would put its division hopes in bad shape and less than halfway through a 16-game season, the Ravens would also have to start 'sweating' a wild card spot. The Broncos have to be the NFL's biggest surprise team in 2009. They ended last year by losing a three-game divison lead with three games to go and suffered through a highly contentious off-season. Longtime head coach Mike Shanahan was let go and untested Josh McDaniels was hired. QB Jay Cutler got into a dispute with ownership and management and was eventually traded to Chicago for Kyle Orton (among others), who few considered a "big time" QB. Denver's defense needed a complete overhaul after allowing over 400 points in each of the last two seasons and very few experts expected Denver to be better than the 8-8 mark it posted in 2008. Clearly, the Broncos have exceeded expectations. The defense is allowing 11.0 PPG (down from 25.6 and 28.0 PPG the last two years), the fewest of any team in the NFL. Denver is allowing 262.5 YPG, second-best to the Giants (262.0). The rush D ranks third (79.7 YPG / 3.3 YPC / 2 TDs) and the pass D allows a modest 183.0 YPG with three TDs and six INTs (with 21 sacks, only the Vikings have more, who have played one more game). The running game has been sound with rookie Moreno (381 YR / 3.8 YPC) and Buckhalter (313 YR / 6.7 YPC) both contributing while Orton has been FAR better than expected at QB. He's completing 63.9 percent with nine TDs and just one INT in attempts (100.1 QB rating). Considered no more than a "game-manager," Orton is now 27-12 (.692) as an NFL starter. As good as Denver has been, like the Vikings last week, they are LONG overdue for a loss. The Ravens have struggled at times defensively this year but Baltimore is still a quality team. Flacco has made HUGE strides at QB in 2009. After averaging just 186.0 YPG passing as a rookie, he's averaging 279.0 YPG in '09. His TD-to-INT last year was 14-12 but it's 11-5 after six games in '09, while his QB rating has gone up to 93.8 from 80.3. His receiving corps is much deeper in 2009, with vet Mason (26 catches / 816 in his career, one of 23 all-time with more than 800) joined by Clayton and Washington (20 catches each) as WRs plus TE Heap (24 catches) getting better by the week. Ray Rice has blossomed at RB, gaining 441 YR (6.0 YPC / 3 TDs) and a team-leading 33 catches (he ranks No. 1 in the NFL in yards from scrimmage). McGahee (202 YR / 4.5 YPC / 5 TDs) has taken a backseat but he's still a contributor. Baltimore opened 3-0 against a 'soft' schedule and while the Ravens have dropped three in a row but let's look at the losses. They outgained the Pats in New England but got 'homered' in a 27-21 loss by some questionable calls by the officials. The Ravens also outgained the Vikings but lost 33-31 at Minnesota when they lost on a missed 44-yard FG at the end of the game. Baltimore lost at home to the Bengals 17-14, when Carson Palmer threw a 20-yard TD pass to Andre Caldwell with 22 seconds left to cap an 80-yard drive. That drive was fueled by Baltimore penalties. An illegal contact penalty against Chris Carr and an unnecessary roughness call against Ray Lewis preceded the topper, a pass interference penalty against Frank Walker on a third-and-16 from the Baltimore 30 (although the infraction was called by the officials against Ed Reed). Carson connected on his game-winner on the next play. The Ravens will not fall to 3-4 here and I'm NOT worrying about the reasonable pointspread. AFC Game of the Year 25* Bal Ravens.

     

    Good Luck...Larry

     

    Larry Ness' 20* Club-80 Play-NFL (81% over L11-plus years)-Early

    My 20* Club-80 Play is on the NY Jets at 1:00 ET. The Dolphins secured the AFC East title with a 24-17 victory over the Jets in Week 17 of the 2008 season and on MNF in Week 5 of this year, when RB Ronnie Brown took the snap with 10 seconds left and scored on a two-yard keeper with six seconds left for the fifth lead change of the final period in a 31-27 Miami win. It marked Chad Henne's second career start, as he completed 20-of-26 for 241 yards and two touchdowns. The Dolphins totaled 413 yards in that MNF win, converting nine of 14 third-down chances and controlling the ball for 33 1/2 minutes. Miami had 151 rushing yards in its Week 5 win over the Jets, gaining 110 yards out of the wildcat formation. However, mark me down as one who believes the Dolphins will struggle against all three AFC East opponents the second time around. Jets head coach Rex Ryan was embarrassed by his team's performance that Monday night and I'm betting he'll have his defense much better prepared this time. Henne completed 73.9 percent of his passes in his first two starts (3-0 ratio) but the "third time was NOT the charm" for him last week against the Saints. Yes, the Dolphins jumped out to a 24-3 lead against New Orleans, but the Saints outscored Miami 36-10 in the second half, totaling 302 yards compared to the Dolphins' 159 yards after halftime (outscored the Dolphins 22-0 in the fourth quarter). Brees had his worst day of the season, with three interceptions, a lost fumble and five sacks but he led TD drives of 82, 79 and 60 yards on successive possessions in the second half to put New Orleans ahead to stay. Miami's wildcat netted just 30 yards in 14 plays, while Henne went 18-of-36 with two INTs (both returned for TDs) and a QB rating of 45.0. His second half numbers were 11-of-26 with two INTs (QB rating of 29.2). Will Miami be ready to bounce back right away against the revenge-minded Jets? I think not. The Jets opened 3-0 but then lost three straight as Sanchez completed just 45.0 percent with one TD and eight INTs in the slide. He didn't need to do much last Sunday, as the Jets ran for 316 yards vs the Raiders in a 38-0 win. Jones topped 100 yards (had 121) for the third time in '09 (612 YR / 4.7 YPC / 7 TDs) and rookie Shonn Greene replaced the injured Leon Washington by running for 144 yards (7.6 YPC) with two TDs. The Jets now rank No. 1 in the NFL in rushing (184.9 YPG / 5.1 YPC / 11 TDs), which helps keep the pressure off Sanchez. Sanchez is expected to get Cotchery back at WR this week and Braylon Edwards can't be as bad as he was in Oakland. The Miami 2ndy is allowing over 50 YPG more than the Jets and it doesn't help that starting CB Will Allen tore his ACL against New Orleans and will miss the rest of the season. The Miami rush D is better than New York's (Miami allows 86.7 YPG and 3.7 YPC / Jets allow 116.1 YPG and 4.2 YPC) but the Jets are one of just 10 NFL teams which are allowing less than 300 YPG (297.6). Miami allows 320 but as always, the most important defensive stat is points allowed and the Jets easily win that 'battle,' allowing 14.9 PPG, to the Dolphins' 25.3! Now let's get to series domination! Entering last season, the Jets had gone 16-2-2 ATS against the Dolphins (that's 89%) the last 10 seasons (1998-2007) but after winning and covering at Miami in Week 1 of 2008, lost that Week 17 game at home and then lost this year in Miami on Week 5. Still, that gives the Jets a 17-4-2 ATS run over the Dolphins that stands at 81% the last 11-plus years! Club-80 Play 20* NY Jets.

     

     

    Abu vieno pikerio Lary Ness kuris yra vienas iš rimčiausių amerikos pikerių, ką manot ? Dėl šitų jo statymų ? gal turi kitokios info ar statysit už šituos ?

  2. Nice - Le Mans 1 1.95 @ 50

     

    Sochaux - Paris St. Germain 1 2.65 @ 40

     

    Palermo - Genoa 1 2.05 @ 40

     

    Cardiff/Cardiff HT/FT 2.90 @ 50

     

    Denizlispor 2.40 @ 50

     

     

    Lammer M - Valent R1 1.55

     

    Korolev E - Hajek J1 1.52

     

    Serra F - Luczak P1 1.52

     

    Ram R - Martin A2F (3.5) 1.75

     

    Falla A - Navarro Pastor I2F (3.5) 1.85

     

     

    Ką manot apie mano pasirinkimus ?

     

    271 01/-18+/Allen R.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 1 Šalinti

    270 01/-21+/Pierce P.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 1 Šalinti

    272 01/-29+/Wade D.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    273 01/-25+/Durant K.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    274 01/-24+/Roy B.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    275 01/-30+/Anthony C.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    276 01/-22+/Billups Ch.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 1 Šalinti

    277 01/-20+/Nash S.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 1 Šalinti

    279 01/-20+/Stoudemire A.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    280 01/-27+/Bryant K.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

    281 01/-21+/Johnson J.

    Koef.1.85 Var. 2 Šalinti

  3. Fulham - Liverpool

    1 3.80

    Statoma suma 40

    Numatomas laimėjimas 152

     

    Auxerre - Montpellier

    1 2.10

    Statoma suma 40

    Numatomas laimėjimas 84

     

    92124 I. Navarro Pastor-M. Phillips susitikimo rezultatas 2:0/2:1/0:2/1:2 1 1.50

    92040 F. Serra-E. Roger-Vasselin 1 1.60

    Bendras koeficientas: 2.40

    Statoma suma: 30.00

    Galimas laimėjimas: 72.00

     

    Benfica 75LT

     

    +121

     

     

    Bankas : ~425

  4. Denver Money's NHL Saturday 10/31 ( 3 unit Total of week) **Early play**

     

    We hit our 4 unit GOM yesterday although it wasn't as easy as I would have liked it to be when Buffalo had to win in OT versus the Maple leafs. Today I am coming back strong with another big play on an afternoon game. Best of luck if you fade or follow:

     

    3* New Jersey / Tampa Bay UNDER 5.5 -125

     

    Exec Baseball Lock of year

    500% Yankees

     

    vegas-runner | CFB Side Sat, 10/31/09 - 3:30 PM ?N

    **** NCAAFB CONF USA 4* GAME OF THE MONTH **** (SOUTHERN MISS +7)

     

    BUY the 1/2 POINT up to +7...If YouÛ Don't Have a BODOG Acct...Although most Locals are using 7 due to so much HOU money coming in...Regardless, let's take it to that "Key Number" +7...VR

     

     

    Rickenbach *10* BLOWOUT *GAME OF THE MONTH* 19-7 L2YR

     

    Guaranteed Pick: Scott Rickenbach

    Game: Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt Oct 31 2009 7:30PM

    Prediction: Georgia Tech

    Reason: Scott Rickenbach’s College Football Game #129 - 10* (TOP PLAY) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-) @ Vanderbilt @ 7:30 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

     

    Originally as high as -14, the line on Georgia Tech fell all the way down to as low as a -10.5 in some books. We certainly understand what people are looking at. Georgia Tech is playing a non-conference game, they’re facing a team who is led by a coach who is familiar with Yellow Jackets coach Paul Johnson and his triple option, and Vanderbilt has put up some impressive defensive numbers at times this season. So, all that said, are we the ones “missing the boat” here? Absolutely not! What we’re doing is taking advantage of line value in a game that should be a total mauling. The Yellow Jackets should dominate on both sides of the ball and win this by much more than the original two touchdown margin that was being called for. That said, there is certainly value with this line having been knocked down my more than a field goal in some shops! Let’s get to it!

     

    First off, even though this is a non-conference game, there is not going to be any backing down from the Yellow Jackets in this one. You see, they reside in SEC country…and they hate that. They know that the SEC is considered far superior to the ACC product and that fires them up. They already won at Mississippi State by 11 points earlier this month and that Bulldogs team is superior to the product that the Commodores have currently been putting on the field. Vanderbilt’s defense is not as impressive as people think (more on that in a moment) and their offense is extremely weak. Another issue facing Vandy here is that their coach Bobby Johnson – even though familiar with the option attack and coach Paul Johnson’s “style” from their days matching wits in the Southern Conference – does not necessarily have the ability to stop it. Keep in mind, Bobby’s team kept Paul’s team from batting for the national championship in the 1-AA when they were still in the Southern Conference in 2001. After that, they both moved up a level and Paul landed with Navy. His Midshipmen faced Bobby’s Commodores twice and Paul’s team won both games. Now, Paul is coaching a much more talented team that has the athletes to run the triple option attack phenomenally well. The Yellow Jackets are always threat to break off of a big run and the Commodores will get burned by big plays here.

     

    Vanderbilt struggles in terms of time of possession. Their offense simply struggles to maintain a long drive down the field. Unlike the Commodores, the Jackets thrive on long, clock-eating drives that wear down a defense as the game goes on. Georgia Tech will simply run the ball down the throats of the Commodores all day long. As we’ve noted many times in the past, a key for us in terms of being willing to lay points is motivation. In this particular case, Georgia Tech hates the SEC bias they feel on a weekly basis as Georgia and SEC schools in neighboring states get all the hype and respect. Additionally, as if more motivation was even needed, coach Paul Johnson really has the horses now (moreso than he did with Navy) to not only beat an old rival (Bobby Johnson) once again but to beat him by an even more impressive margin. The Yellow Jackets offense is so hard to prepare for in just a weeks time and Vandy is concerned about missed assignments on defense and the big plays that can result from just not having the right personnel and tactics to defend a dangerous ground game like the Yellow Jackets possess. Vanderbilt’s defense gets a lot of positive press but their only two wins this season came against Western Carolina and Rice. Western Carolina plays in the Southern Conference and the Owls are winless on the season overall and in Conference USA action. Overall, those two teams are a combined 1-14.

     

    Other than the two victories the Commodores have against two struggling programs, Vandy has lost all six of their other games. Four of those losses each game by 12 points and the damage could have been much worse. Plus, in their only two close losses, the Gamecocks outgained the Commodores by 158 yards and Vandy lost to an Army program that is just 3-5 on the season. Army’s other two wins came against Ball State and Eastern Michigan – teams that are a combined 1-14 on the season. Get the picture? Vandy has done nothing against a good program this season. They can’t! Their offense struggles to move the ball and the defense is not a good as their points allowed per game would lead you to believe. The Commodores were outgained by South Carolina by 158 yards, by Mississippi State by a 341-157 margin, by Georgia by 103 yards, by Mississippi by 157 yards, and by LSU by 116 yards! All these ugly results and yet Vandy is still 3-4 ATS on the season. That’s part of the reason we’re getting such line value here and it’s a big reason as to why we’re not afraid to lay the points. The Yellow Jackets won’t shy away from dominating in this one. They don’t like the SEC! Play Georgia Tech minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection

     

     

    SEC CONFERENCE CRUSHER GAME OF THE YEAR

    133 Mississippi -5.5 12:20 EST

     

    Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

    Date: Saturday, October 31, 2009

    $25.00 Guaranteed: ****LATE COLLEGE FOOTBALL STEAM ALERT**** Today in the NFL we have some very STRONG INFORMATION on one game! You can get our LATE STEAM COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after the game wins! It Does Not Get any Better than this so Join us for another Easy BLOWOUT WINNER! 10/31/2009

     

    John Ryan

     

    15* - 5 unit(s) ATS: Tennessee Volunteers -6 (-110) (Game of the Year)

     

    Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Tennessee as they face South Carolina set to start at 7:45 EST and can be seen on ESPN TV. AiS shows an 86% probability that Tennessee will win this game by 7 or more points. I had Tennessee last week as they came so ever close to defeating number 2 tanked Alabama in Tuscaloosa. I am not surprised at all that the AiS would identity this matchup as an even stronger money making opportunity. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 23-4 against the money line for 85% winners making 21.9 units since 1999. Play on a home team versus the money line that is an average passing team gaining 175-230 PYPG facing a good passing defense allowing 130-175 PYPG and after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. Yes, this is a money line system, but the average play has been a +112.6 DOG under scoring the validity of this system. AiS shows a 96% probability that Tennessee will score 28 or more points and has a 92% probability of out gaining SC by 100 to 150 total yards. Tennessee is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. SC is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards since 1992. SC also an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992. Take the Volunteers.

     

    Big Time

    GUARANTEED VIP LOCK OF THE YEAR:

     

    NORTHERN ILLINOIS -12 over Akron

     

     

    Internete tokius radau pikeriai viršuj ir paskui statymai B-) Pažiūrėkit pikerių statistikas, gal tikrai kas patiks :)

    Sėkmės.

  5. o Jus zmogau ka parodyti ispudingo turit kad man jau sleptis belieka? :)

    Tai aš irgi galiu susikurt dienoraštį ir beleką rašyt ten statymus po 10000 kai praeina, kokia nauda pasakyk iš šito dienoraščio yra ? Ne tas pats būtų notepade susikurti ir rašyti ? ar negali kaip visi normaliai rašyti prieš statant ? Nesuprantu visiškai tavo šito dienoraščio esmės, lygiai tas pats būtų notepade susikurt, ir jaustis sau pačiam kietam, o mums čia rodyt skaičiukus nematau jokios prasmės.

  6. Trace Adams

     

    In the NBA, grab the points with the Wizards.

     

    Flip Saunders is the perfect fit for this team, and Washington did stun Dallas on Tuesday outright, and with the team in relative good health - especially Gilbert Arenas - I will take a shot with the Wizz plus the points tonight.

     

    Atlanta is no slouch to be sure, but the numbers here support the road team, and underdog, as the visitor is on an 8-1 spread run the last 9, while the dog has covered 10 of the last 13 series meetings.

     

    The Hawks swept ALL 4 of the Wizards last season, and have won 5 in a row overall against Washington.

     

    Look for the 'Zards to come out and show some passion.

     

    Take the points.

     

    500♦ - Washington Wizards

     

    ir

     

    Doc Sports

     

    5 Units - Clippers +9

     

    3 Units - Oklahoma +5

     

    2 Units - Dallas +9

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