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Aiwiz

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  1. ANDRE:

    Play: Single Dime Play on St. Louis ML

    Comments: ST LOUIS (19 - 10) at CINCINNATI (15 - 13)

     

    Friday, 5/8/2009 7:10 PM JOEL PINEIRO ® vs. JOHNNY CUETO ®

     

    The Cardinals are a great underdog tonight and with this price I'm taking them without any kinds of doubt. I think that this is the ideal spot to fade Reds' pitcher Johnny Cueto. Cueto started the season showing tremendous command problems but apparently he bounced back and in his last 3 starts he allowed 0, 1 and 0 runs. These are great numbers but I still don't trust him enough to beat a potent lineup like the Cardinals are. Besides the fact that the Reds are 3-13 in Cueto's last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance just look for his opponents in those 3 starts: Pirates, Houston and Cubs! If you haven't noticed these 3 teams are in the bottom of the NL in hitting. The best team is the Astros - 9th in the NL. Well, the Cardinals are a different animal and Cueto last season was pounded when he faced the Cards: he allowed 6 and 7 runs in 2 starts. In fact the actual Cardinals' lineup is batting .481 BA vs. Cueto!!!

     

    The Cardinals meanwhile send Joel Pineiro and Pineiro is doing a terrific job so far in the season. Yes, he doesn't have he stuff to be an ace but he is keeping the Cards in a position to win the ballgames and their offense usually does the rest. That's why the Cards are 4-1 with him on the mound this season. Last outing Pineiro allowed 4 runs in 7 innings vs. Washington but note that all the 4 runs come in the same inning (the 5th) so Pineiro made a good job. I expect a similar performance from him tonight. With him being decent tonight the Cards have a great chance to win this ballgame. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Note that for the Reds 2B Brandon Phillips and 1B Joey Votto are doubtful for this contest and especially Votto is potentially a big loss for the Reds.

    Pick: 3 units on St. Louis ML @ 2.07 on Pinnacle

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