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Villanova vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - 8:45 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: -7 North Carolina Play Title:

5* Final Four Game of the Year on North Carolina -7 Villanova has made an amazing run, but this is where it ends. The Tar Heels were crushed in last year's Final Four matchup with Kansas but they won't be denied this time around. Every one talks about Villanova's defense, but it is used to defending the half court offenses of the Big East. Just like all of UNC's other opponents in the dance, Villanova will eventually run out of gas against the Carolina run and gun attack. Jay Wright can try it all, but I really believe that there will be no answer for Ty Lawson and that will be the difference. The Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games period. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. UNC is 8-1 ATS in NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

 

Michigan State vs. Connecticut (NCAAB) - 6:05 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: 4 Michigan State Play Title:

3* Final Four First Blood on Michigan State +4 Michigan State is not getting nearly enough credit. This is a team which took out defending champion Kansas and then completely dominated Big East champ Louisville. The Spartans will be up for the challenge this evening and it doesn't hurt that they will be playing close to home at Ford Field. Michigan State is a big, physical, defensive team which can make life very difficult for the Huskies on the offensive end, just like they did against Louisville. Michigan State is 15-6 ATS when playing away from home versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 69.1 to 68.4. The Spartans are 13-4 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season, 14-4 ATS in all neutral court lined games over the last 2 seasons, and 16-6 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Take the points.

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40 DIMER - VILLANOVA WILDCATS + 7

40 Dimers-10-1

I have listened all week long to everyone touting North Carolina as the winner of this tournament, but I say doubt Villanova at your own risk.Villanova has already trashed a UCLA team that had been to the Final Four in the 2 previous Big Dances, then they crushed the # 2 seeded Duke Blue Devils from the ACC, and lastly handled the toughness of # 1 seeded Pitt in the last round.That is an impressive resume, and the Wildcats do it with depth (8 of their players average 18 minutes per game), and experience (3 senior starters). Jay Wright's team is a tough bunch, and I expect them to handle the best shot the Tar Heels can throw at them, and still be within this rather roomy impost.

North Carolina may very well advance, but I don't think this one is going to be a blowout.

 

Wildcats plus the points

as my 40 Dimer this Final Four Saturday.

 

Kito pickerio:

20 Dimes Villanova + 7

• We should have released this pick when the line came out. It opened at +8 for us and we should have released it to our clients at that time. We are now sitting on a 7.5 number but anticipate it to drop even more This is going to come down to the team that has the ball last. Everyone is talking about the big upset in 1985 and how this team could do much of the same. I 100% agree here kids that it very well could happen. The world is on UNC to win this whole thing, and rightfully so. However today they will be on the court with two NBA prospects in Swayne Anderson and Dante Cunningham…. Oh ya we are also forgetting Mr. Reynolds who single handily ousted Pitt and their fans hopes from the tournament last week. Unc kids are going to be in a fight with this one this weekend, and while Mr. Lawson and company have had their minds and money at greektown I seem them unfocused and that my friends is going to cost them here. Two other big stats stick out for us on this one as well. The under is 9-2 in VILLA last 11 non-conference games, and that plays into our favor. An under will keep the score much more closer for us giving us the winning Saturday that everyone wants. Speaking of Saturday, Villanova just so happens to be 8 and 2 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Take Villanova to the bank at +7.5 for you 20 dime play from CappersJungle. Com. Sit back and enjoy the game.

 

Dar kito:

 

Villanova (+7) over North Carolina

Villanova presents an interesting match-up for North Carolina, as the Wildcats’ guard-heavy lineup should be able to penetrate the Tarheels defense while also taking advantage of North Carolina’s mediocre perimeter defense (34.3% 3-pointers allowed). The Cats may not have an answer for UNC All-Americaon Tyler Hansbrough, but Hansbrough isn’t quick enough to defend Villanova’s top scorer Dante Cunningham. The Wildcats have picked up their level of defense during the tournament in limiting a couple of very good offensive teams (UCLA and Pitt), but North Carolina is the best offensive team in the nation and good defensive teams haven’t had much success stopping the Tarheels’ attack this season. My ratings favor North Carolina by 7 points using the entire season, but it’s clear that Villanova is better now than they were earlier in the season and using games since January would favor the Tarheels by just 5 ½ points. Underdogs of 7 points or more are 8-1 ATS in the national semifinals and I’ll lean with Villanova +7 points or more. My math predicted total is 159 points.

 

dar vienas :)

 

VILLANOVA --- And away we go... the four best teams in college basketball take center stage at Ford Field tonight in what I believe will be very entertaining games. But that latter contest, featuring #1 seed Carolina and 3-seed Villanova, has all the makings of another classic. I have a feeling this one will be more entertaining than what we saw when 'Nova survived Pitt by a deuce in the final seconds of the game. The Wildcats have all the makings of a National Championship caliber team; they can score inside, shoot from beyond the perimeter, and defend like nobody's business.And if you look at their tournament run thus far, they've beaten every kind of team imagineable. They pounded a very defensive-minded UCLA team, scoring 89 points on them. They followed that up with a 23-point beatdown of the Duke Blue Devils, a team that is known to be sharpshooters from the outside. And finally they beat Pitt, a conference rival, who has one of the most dominating big men in the game. You see, it doesn't matter what type of team that has been thrown at them, they've met the challenge in every game and somehow came out on top.The Wildcats also proved that they know how to win when the going gets tough. After falling behind American U in the first round, 'Nova was able to go on an incredible second-half run to win by 13. After pummeling two straight solid opponents, they had to battle for their lives and fight back from a four-point deficit in the closing minutes to hold off Pitt by two. So you see, this Wildcat team has seen it all in this tournament and absolutely nothing the Tar Heels do tonight will come as a shock to them.Carolina, on the other hand, simply hasn't been tested. How will they react if they find themselves down by double digits or in a very tight game with just minutes to go? We have no idea, because they've breezed through this tournament so far, virtually untested by anyone. The closest anyone came was LSU in the second round and Oklahoma in the fourth round, but neither of those games were really as close as the score might have indicated. What Oklahoma did was give Villanova a blueprint as to how to slow Carolina down to a pace in which they score in the low 70s. If that happens, Villanova will win this game SU. If Carolina is able to manage to get more than 80 points, it's gonna be a dogfight.Another reason I like the 'Cats so much is their dominating presence on the boards and their pressure defense. Villanova has outrebounded every team they've played so far in this tournament and they do it by attacking the glass with at least three people. Although Dante Cunningham seems to be the "premiere big man" for this team, it's really anyone's guess as to which player will finish with the most boards. And did you happen to catch their last game against Pitt? Did you notice how the late pressure forced a few Pitt turnovers that eventually cost them the game? A complete team effort from Villanova tonight will be the difference in this game. They believe in themselves, and know they have all the tools to win this whole darn thing.Oh, and if that's not enough... let's quickly talk about their free throws. That stat alone might be the difference in this game. They have at least four players who are capable of taking the ball to the rim and drawing the foul. And not only that, but when they get to the line, they convert. How does 86 of 106 in four games sound, not to mention the fact they've made at least 19 FTs in all four games.No doubt Carolina is talented and capable of winning this by double digits if they play perfectly, but in this same scenario last year they were run out of the gym by Kansas 84-66 in a game the Jayhawks led by 30. Don’t think that isn’t in the back of the minds of all those players who were in this game last season because it absolutely is. The pressure is intense on the Tar Heels and it will show throughout this game, and if this team gets down by double digits early, those haunting memories of a year ago will rear their ugly heads again. Nova has covered five of their last six in this tournament as an underdog, four of their last five vs. non-conference opponents and 12 of their last 16 vs. teams with a winning percentage of greater than .600. Guys, don’t be surprised to see Villanova win this game SU.

 

Na ir dar vienas... :)

 

3 UNIT PLAY

 

Villanova +7 over North Carolina: The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, while the Tar Heels are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Cats have been impressive in the tourney, beating the likes of UCLA by 20, Duke by 23 and Pitt. Overall Villanove has scored 80.5 ppg in the tourney, while allowing just 66.5 ppg and as you can see their last 3 opponents were no slouches. North Carolina has a bigger scopring margin in the tourney than the Cats do, but to me Villanova crushing Duke and UCLA is more impressive than Carolina beating an SEC Team (LSU) by 14 and a WCC team (Gonzaga) by 21 points. Sure the Heels have been scoring a ton of points this year, but the Cats rate a big edge on defense. Villanova has allowed just 66.7 ppg (151st) on just 40.3% shooting (40th) oiverall this year, while the Heels have allowed 72.1 ppg (286th) on 41.43% shooting (72nd). Now if you through out the Radford game, then the Heels have allowed 75.2 ppg in their last 11 games away from home. Carolina has also allowed 71+ points in 11 of their last 15 games. Villanova has played with great heart and determination all tournament long and couple that with a defense that can slow down the Heels and an offense that can score on this mediocre Heels defense and you get an outright Wildcat win.

 

 

 

 

 

 

na as kiek ziuriu man kasdien kertasi visu rungtynes... nes per daug tu pickeriu...

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Michigan State vs. Connecticut (NCAAB) - 6:05 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: 4 Michigan State Play Title:

3* Final Four First Blood on Michigan State +4 Michigan State is not getting nearly enough credit. This is a team which took out defending champion Kansas and then completely dominated Big East champ Louisville. The Spartans will be up for the challenge this evening and it doesn't hurt that they will be playing close to home at Ford Field. Michigan State is a big, physical, defensive team which can make life very difficult for the Huskies on the offensive end, just like they did against Louisville. Michigan State is 15-6 ATS when playing away from home versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 69.1 to 68.4. The Spartans are 13-4 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season, 14-4 ATS in all neutral court lined games over the last 2 seasons, and 16-6 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Take the points.

Nu sis su maziau unitu tai praejo labai lengvai, ziuresim kaip kitos dabar eis, rodys tiesiogiai per ESPN tai nervu man kainuos :)

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Villanova vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - 8:45 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: -7 North Carolina Play Title:

5* Final Four Game of the Year on North Carolina -7 Villanova has made an amazing run, but this is where it ends. The Tar Heels were crushed in last year's Final Four matchup with Kansas but they won't be denied this time around. Every one talks about Villanova's defense, but it is used to defending the half court offenses of the Big East. Just like all of UNC's other opponents in the dance, Villanova will eventually run out of gas against the Carolina run and gun attack. Jay Wright can try it all, but I really believe that there will be no answer for Ty Lawson and that will be the difference. The Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games period. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. UNC is 8-1 ATS in NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

geriau negalejo baigtis si naktis :) super :)

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Nu ka snd finalas ir duoda pika:

 

Michigan State vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - 9:15 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-105 Michigan State Play Title:

5* 2009 NCAA Championship Game MONSTER BEST BET on Michigan State +7.5 We cashed in our 5* Sweet 16 GOTY on the Spartans over Kansas. Then, we cashed in our 5* Elite 8 BEST BET on Michigan State over Louisville. We cashed in on Michigan State yet again with our 3* Final Four First Blood play as it defeated UConn. I think it's time everyone started believing in the Spartans. If you thought Ford Field was electric for Michigan State's Final Four matchup with UConn, wait until you hear the crowd roar tonight. This is going to be very much like a home game with Spartans and underdog fans cheering against the Tar Heels. Another key factor in this one is that UNC smoked a tired Michigan State team that was playing without Goran Suton in this same building early in the season. That is ammo for Tom Izzo to get his boys ready to go if I've ever seen it. Defense wins championships and the Spartans have the better defense. They were able to take both Louisville and UConn completely out of what they like to do and I expect the Spartans to make life difficult on the Tar Heels as well. Offensively, North Carolina is not the best defensive team in the country so Michigan State is going to be able to score the basketball. The Heels aren't as big and strong on the interior as UConn and Michigan State was able to dominate at times on the glass. I expect the Spartans to win the boards tonight. It's been pretty much a breeze for the Heels to this point, but the picnic ends tonight as they will be in for a battle with a strong defensive opponent. Michigan State has shown that it won't back down from anyone and I'll grab the points tonight as the Spartans can win this thing. The Spartans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 NCAA Tournament games. Michigan State is 15-4 ATS in all neutral court lined games over the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season. Bet the Spartans!

 

o kitas duoda:

 

Michigan State vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - 9:15 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Point Spread: -7.5 North Carolina Play Title: 5*

 

 

manau is to maco tik overi geriausia imti :)

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