NFL naujas sezonas

Snd as renkuos:

Atlanta - Detroit, Atlanta (+3) @2.07 10/10 Mano Dienos pikas

Buffalo - Seattle Buffalo (-1) @1.98 10/10

Indianapolis Colts – Chicago Bears Under 44 @1.93 8/10

Aš anksčiau nemažai domėjaus, bet sezono pradžiai negrinėt visai nebuvo laiko.

EDIT: užmečiau akį ir va mano nuomonė

1. Nors pas tave dienos pick aš su juo nesutinku. Atlantos QB Matt Ryan žais pirmas rungtynes NFL'e kas tikrai įtakos jo žaidimą. Lions nors nėra labai gera komanda, bet stabilesnė ir labiau susižaisudi. Sutinku kad atlanta turi potencialo, bet ne pirmose sezono rungtynėse. Aišku tavo pickas turbūt pirktinis ir nagrinėtas profesionalių pickerių, bet man asmeniškai nelimpa.

2. Sutinku, bet 10 unitų neduočiau. Kokius 7-8 daugiausia

3. Net neįsivaizduoju, man atrodo 50/50

Į vakarą gal ir kitus mačus permesiu akimis.

Prsisijungsiu ir as :D

1. Cleveland Browns - Dallas Cowboys, Dallas (-5.5) 1.87 10/10 Mano dienos pikas

2. San Diego Chargers - Carolina Panthers, San Diego (-9) 1.92 8/10

3. Buffalo Bills - Seattle Seahawks, Seattle 2.00 7/10

daugiau piku mano dienorasti...

beja Bosxs kolkas mano pikai visiskai priesingi nei tavo... bus idomu :D

hm.. bus idomu, skirtingos nuomones, nusprendziau tada snd daug nedeti ant savo tu piku, nes lb skiriasi nuomone :D

Bet svarbu kad yra zmonius kas stato NFL

Nu biski dar info apibendrinimui, katik pikeris atsiunte:

Buffalo vs Seattle

 

Play: -1 Buffalo

 

The Bills are one of the most underrated teams for this forthcoming season and that's visible in the future bets, where the line for the Bills in terms of total wins this season is just 7,5. However a close look to what this team has done in the past makes us see that the perspectives for this season are good, having in account that the whole team's structure is the same. Also I remember that the Bills ended the season with a 7-9 record, but 9-6-1 ATS and their numbers are impressive, as the Bills were just favored in two games during the whole season. An important stat of Buffalo from last season is that they were 6th in the turnover ratio with +9, just behind the Chargers, Colts, Patriots, Bucs and the Seahawks. Guess what? All these five teams made it to the playoffs.

 

This is potentially interesting, as Seattle on the other side had the easiest schedule of last season and one of the stats that can prove that is they were just the underdogs in three games last season and still they only managed to have a 10-6 record. And their scenario for this game isn't famous at all. QB Matt Hasselbeck played in only one pre-season game at quarterback he wasn't practicing with his usual receivers. He had a great year last season, but the physical problems didn't allow him to have a good preparation for this season. This is a major worry for Seattle, as their usual receivers won't be available for this game. Veterans Bobby Engram, Deion Branch and Ben Obomanu are injured and in that way, what in normal conditions wouldn't be alarming the fact of Hasselbeck not having done a complete preseason has now become a real problem, as Hasselbeck doesn't have routines with the WR's who will star tomorrow. This is uses to be of the strongest weapons of the team, as they were 8th in passing last season with 247.8 yards/game. The alternative to the passing game won't be viable, as the team will make a rotation between the 3 RB Taylor, Kent and Payne, which won't offer a stable basis to Hasselback.

 

On the other side, the Bills continue with their base stable and healthy. The QB Trent Edwards has all the conditions to make a good job, as he knows the team's offensive system very well and he will once again have the possibility of make a great pair with Lee Evans. The Bills have the best special teams in the NFL by a wide margin and they will surely use it to gain some advantage. A factor which can be forgotten has to go with the Seahawks traveling 3 different time zones and playing at 1PM eastern. This is a factor usually forgotten by the public, but just remember that in their first trip last season to this time zone, they lost by 21-0 at Pittsburgh. Also in 2006, they only won at Detroit by 3 points, in a ugly 9-6 non-covering win against a team, which ended up to have a 3-13 record season. Seattle is 2-9-1 ATS in their last dozen tries on the road in the Eastern Time Zone and this says it all about the problems of the Seahawks playing so early. Also Holmgren is 1-11 ATS against AFC East division opponents and 4-13 ATS in road games in non-conference games as the coach of Seattle.

 

I think the Bills is better than the Seahawks right now and most important than that, benefits from some important edges which make the Bills a juicy small home favorite this week. Take Buffalo in here.

dar

Atlanta vs Detroit

 

Play: Single Dime Under 41

Comments:

 

NFL Week 1 - 463 Detroit Lions @ 464 Atlanta Falcons

 

When we look at the totals at the beginning of a season, we need to understand that the offenses aren't at their best level, given a lot of teams start from the scratch and they need to time to improve gradually. In fact, the Under went 23-9 in the week 1 and 2 last season and when we have a game, where both teams have a new offensive coach and the offenses don't look impressive, we can have great value on the under. That's exactly what it happens in this game, between the Falcons and the Lions.

 

The Falcons after a 4-12 season have opted for the hardest decision a team can make: start from scratch! New general manager, new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator and a new rookie quarterback, the #1 overall pick, Matt Ryan. This scenario fits in the philosophy that a team needs time to develop. Mike Smith is a defensive minded coach, who prefers to run the ball, slow down the game and play defense. The fact that the Falcons will be lead by the rookie QB Matt Ryan will make the team use a lot their running game, which will slow down the rhythm of the game. Ryan was known for getting intercepted a lot in college and that's another reason why Atlanta will run a lot this season.

 

On the other side, the Lions had a new offensive coordinator, Jim Colleto, who likes to put their teams running the football with a lot of physical power. That was visible in the preseason, where the Lions had a 4-0 record and so they don't have motives to change what they have done in the preseason. In fact in those four games, they ran the ball 31 times per game, much different from the 20 times per game they did last season. If we don't count the preseason game where most starters didn't play, the Lions had always more rushing yards than their opponents: +5, +12 and +74, which shows that the team will mostly use this kind of offense.

 

So both offenses are learning new systems and both systems include a lot of running. The defense of the Lions has also improved a lot since last season, where they were dead last in the league. The secondary unit has now more valuable options and they have 11 defensive lineman on their final roster, in a clear attempt to improve their pass defense. Both teams are in a clear attempts to try to run the football, which will slow down a lot the rhythm of the game and remember the Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. I expect this game to finish in the mid 30's in terms of points. Take the under in here.

Komentarai puse velnio

Pittsburgh vs Houston

 

Play: Single Dime +7 Houston

Comments:

 

NFL Week 1 - 459 Houston Texans @ 460 Pittsburgh Steelers

 

The Texans has been a very well conducted team in the last seasons and they have been improving every year. Houston came from 2-14 in 2005 to 6-10 in 2006 and then to 8-8 last season. I expect them to keep getting better this season and for that to happen, they need stability, which is something extremely important in any organization. As a reward, the Texans will have for the first time in their franchise history a MNF game this season. The team last season had a 2-6 SU and ATS record on the road and maybe that's why they are being so underrated by the oddmakers today, which is in part understandable, however I believe the Texans will improve this season and for that they will need to step it up and I believe they will do it especially in the road games, when I expect them to be much more competitive.

 

Today they will face the Steelers, who ended last season with a 10-6 record and who were defeated at home by the Jaguars in the postseason by 29-31. The team had an home record of 7-1 SU last season and if we add the fact that the Texans had a 2-6 away record, we quickly come to the conclusion that this is the main motive why Pittsburgh is being favorable by a touchdown in this match. However, looking to the matchups, I don't think such high spread is justifiable in here.

 

The Steels had the best defense of the league last season and that was the main reason for the positive record of the team, which gave them a ticket to the postseason. However the Texans have an improved offense this season and with good solutions in every part of the field. The offense had an amazing preseason and QB Matt Schaub enters his second season as the starter and he is clearly an emerging star of the league. The running game will improve with Alex Gibbs returning to the active to coach this unit. And if we add a good corp of receivers, this team is loaded with excellent options in the offense: Andre Johnson, Jacoby Jones, Andre Davis, Kevin Walter and Owen Daniels. Another thing that impressed me this season was how well the offensive line did their task of protecting the quarterback. Houston had also the 3rd best special teams in the league last season, thanks to kick returner Andre Davis and his 30.3 yards per return and 3 TD's.

 

On the other side, Ben Roethlisberger will control the offense of the Steelers. He had a great last season with 104.1 of rating and 32 TD with just 11 int. With the strongest part of the team being the rushing game (3rd with 135.2 yards/game last season), the truth is that their powerful offensive line is slowly getting worse and this will be an huge problem for the team if their opponents have weapons to cause them problems in this specific area. Roethlisberger got sacked 53 times in 16 games last season, which shows the problems of the team in this area. Coincidence or not, the scenario doesn't look very good for them this season, as their lost the guard Alan Faneca to the Jets and this makes their offensive line considerably weaker, so the Steelers could once again struggle in this area, where they just averaged 5.3 yards per play last season.

 

The fact that I said "and this will be an huge problem for the team if their opponents have weapons to cause them problems in this specific area" wasn't just a trivial sentence. The truth is that the defensive line of the Texans puts a lot of pressure on their opponents, even if Dunta Robinson will be out until November. The team has a good numbers of players, who are capable of creating a lot of problems. With Robinson out, rookie CB Fred Bennett entered the starting lineup last season and he was amazing. He started the last 8 games of the season and he led the league by just allowing 4.8 yards per pass thrown on his direction, while breaking up 17 passes. DE Mario Williams had 10 sacks in the final 7 games of the season and with an offensive line of the Steelers struggling, Super Mario can make some real damage today.

 

So, I think the Texas may be a good dog in here, capable of fighting for the win and even winning the game outright. The fact that we can get 7 points for them makes this a clear valuable bet, as we are in front of a authentic ballgame. Take Houston in here.

and one more :D

Baltimore vs Cincinnati

 

Play: Single Dime -1,5 Cincinnati

Comments:

 

NFL Week 1 - 453 Cincinnati Bengals @ 454 Baltimore Ravens

 

I normally don't like to go against an home dog in a season opener, which the case of the Ravens on this game, however in normal conditions a SU win of the Bengals should be enough for a cover too, as they are currently listed as a -1,5 road favorite. I think the Bengals will be capable of playing some interesting games this season, however the same can't be said about the Ravens, as their current situation is really problematic.

 

The Ravens' quarterback situation is terrible right now, as rookie Joe Flacco will be the starter today and the truth is that he didn't win the starting spot due to his merits, but because the other two contenders for this position won't be able to play today. And if in normal circumsntances a rookie should struggle on his first season (Manning in the Colts was an example of that), the truth is that we are talking about a rookie, who was supposed to stay at the bench for the whole season. Joe Flacco played in the four preseason games, in order to be better prepared for today, but the truth is that the scouts of the Bengals were also at these games, so they had the opportunity to take a look at the offensive players between Flacco and his teammates.

 

Besides this, the spot of the Ravens isn't good at all. I actually believe Flacco with a good offense could actually have a good performance today, but the Ravens have one of the worst receiving corps in the league and the retirement of tackle Jonathan Ogden made things even worse for them. Adam Terry, Ben Grubbs, Jason Brown, Marshall Yanda and Jarod Gaither all have three years of NFL experience or less, which makes this team lack experience and be an easy target at the beginning of the season, as they don't have routines and good coordination with the QB. Things don't get better for Baltimore in their defensive. Nose tackle Kelly Gregg and free safety Ed Reed, the two most important players on this defense are both hurt and questionable for today. We are talking about the strongest part of the Ravens and without these two players, the defense of the Ravens gets clearly worse.

 

On the other side, the Bengals finished the season with a 7-9 record, but they weren't that bad. After all they ended the season with a positive turnover ratio of +1 (14th). QB Carson Palmer é a solid player and we have a clear mismatch in the QB position in this match. Also the Bengals have potential to be dangerous on offense, with Chris Perry and especially Ocho Cinco and Houshmandzadeh, who are both 1000 yard receivers, who will make the task of the Ravens defense really tough. Just remember the Bengals were 7th last season in passing, with 250.8 yards per game. Obviously there have been some off-field concerns about Ocho Cinco, however when the players hit the field, they will quickly forget that. Cincinnati's defense was just plain bad last season. They were last in sacks, 27th in totals yards allowed and 24th in points allowed, which forced the offense to try and outscore teams every week, but for this game things may not be terrible for the Bengals in this department, as the offense of the Ravens looks terrible right now.

 

The Bengals have been dominating the head to head, having swept the series last season, covering the spread in both games. The Bengals are actually 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Ravens. The team just won 2 of their 8 road games last season, but one of those wins was at Baltimore by 1-7. I'll take the Bengals in this game, as they are the better team and with this being played so early in the season, the edge is even higher for the Bengals. Take Cincinnati in here.

Db kaip cia viska susumuot ir pagalvot uz ka statyt :D

Taigi pasižiūrėjęs į Vaidą, Bosxs, pagalvojęs pats nuėjau iki seniai lankyto topsport ir pastačiau už:

1.Detroit Lions-Atlanta FalconsPick: Under 41 10/10

2.Detroit Lions-Atlanta Falcons Pick: 1 8/10

3.Arizona Cardinals-San Fracisco 49ers Pick: 1 8/10

4.Cincinnati Bengals-Baltimore Ravens Pick: Cincinati(-1) 9/10

5.Dallas stars-Cleveland Browns Pick: Dallas(-5) 10/10

6. Carolina Panthers-San diego Chargers Pick: 1 7/10

7.NY Jets-Miami Dolphins Pick: 1 6/10

8.Tampa Bay Bucaneers-NO Saints Pick: 2 9/10

Pažiūrėsim kas čia gausis. Sezono pradžia taigi gali visko būti...

GIANTS vėl ims taurę, visada reiks mest už juos

As cia gal biski ne i tema, bet kiek ~ trunka NFL varzybos?

As cia gal biski ne i teme, bet kiek ~ trunka NFL varzybos?

Apie 4 valandas. Dėl labai didelio reklamos kiekio.

P.S. jie kam įdomu, tai dar nuo praeito sezono yra skype chatas, kuriame aptarinėjamas NFL, reiškiamos emocijos rungtynių metu ir t.t. Galiu pridėt jei yra norinčių.

Apie 4 valandas. Dėl labai didelio reklamos kiekio.

 

P.S. jie kam įdomu, tai dar nuo praeito sezono yra skype chatas, kuriame aptarinėjamas NFL, reiškiamos emocijos rungtynių metu ir t.t. Galiu pridėt jei yra norinčių.

gali primest mane :D

Antras mano pickas jau galima sakyt subyrėjo, kai per pirmas minutes Atlanta jau pelnė 2 Touchdownus. Visai ne tokio scenarijaus tikėjausi

Antras mano pickas jau galima sakyt subyrėjo, kai per pirmas minutes Atlanta jau pelnė 2 Touchdownus. Visai ne tokio scenarijaus tikėjausi

nu man tai smagu girdeti :D tikriausia pikeriai nevelui sake kad tai dienos pikas :D nors aisku dar gali pralost, as dar nelb nusimanau NFL

nu man tai smagu girdeti :D tikriausia pikeriai nevelui sake kad tai dienos pikas :D nors aisku dar gali pralost, as dar nelb nusimanau NFL

Imeciau tave i chat'a. Kiek dabar matau tai turi visiškai pasikeist situacija kad praloštų.

Imeciau tave i chat'a. Kiek dabar matau tai turi visiškai pasikeist situacija kad praloštų.

Jau ir underiui pizda man rodos, 21-0 dar pirmam keliniui nesibaigus... :/

Underio tai dar nelaidoju...

gerai, bent, kad atlantos pergale paemiau :D

šėip galėtumet daugiau papasakot apie nfl, taisykles, ir t.t. :D kas bettinge lengviau, sunkiau ir kt.

šėip galėtumet daugiau papasakot apie nfl, taisykles, ir t.t. :D kas bettinge lengviau, sunkiau ir kt.

Neįmanoma papasakoti visų taisyklių nes jų nesveikai daug. Žiūėk rungtynes kol pradėsi suprast.

tai ##### :D neįdomu :D

Dabar LIVE žiūrių New Orleans - Tampa Bay, kaip manot, kas čia laimės? :D

ate underiui nesamones likus 30 sek per visa aikste sugebejo prabegt detroitas ir TD padaryt, kazkokie fokusai :D :D :D

ate underiui nesamones likus 30 sek per visa aikste sugebejo prabegt detroitas ir TD padaryt, kazkokie fokusai :D :D :D

Ne per visą o 30 yardu. Ne prabėgo o pass'ą nesveiką pagavo. Kaip tik žiūriu šį mačą :D Teoriškai dar man pergalę ištraukt galėtų, bet iš žaidimo to nesimato. Bosxs pickeris underį davė rezultatyviausiam šiandienos mačui :D Pasitaiko...

Jūs čia žiūrit, kaip manot, Atlanta-Detroit Detroitas ištrauks? :D

Taigi pasižiūrėjęs į Vaidą, Bosxs, pagalvojęs pats nuėjau iki seniai lankyto topsport ir pastačiau už:

 

1.Detroit Lions-Atlanta FalconsPick: Under 41 10/10

2.Detroit Lions-Atlanta Falcons Pick: 1 8/10 falconsai pukiai ir netikėtai startavo. Manau šį sezoną gali nemažai pasiekti. QB Ryan tapo 8 naujoku kuris laimėjo debiutinį game. HB turneris pagerino falconsu komandos vieno žaidėjo nubegtu yardu rekorda kuris laikėsi nuo 1984

3.Arizona Cardinals-San Fracisco 49ers Pick: 1 8/10

4.Cincinnati Bengals-Baltimore Ravens Pick: Cincinati(-1) 9/10

5.Dallas stars-Cleveland Browns Pick: Dallas(-5) 10/10

6. Carolina Panthers-San diego Chargers Pick: Chargers(-9) 7/10

7.NY Jets-Miami Dolphins Pick: 1 6/10

8.Tampa Bay Bucaneers-NO Saints Pick: 2 9/10

 

Pažiūrėsim kas čia gausis. Sezono pradžia taigi gali visko būti...

Galutinai -9,9 unito. Pagrinde padarytra klaida dėl atlantos.

Snd as renkuos:

 

Atlanta - Detroit, Atlanta (+3) @2.07 10/10 Mano Dienos pikas +10.7

Buffalo - Seattle Buffalo (-1) @1.98 10/10 +9.8

Indianapolis Colts – Chicago Bears Under 44 @1.93 8/10

Pradzia gan be didesniu siurprizu :D

Profitas: 20.5+